Introduction & Analysis

This collection of open-source English-language news articles published over the past week highlights significant events and issues concerning Myanmar. They present a snapshot of the safety and security landscape in Myanmar.

Intensification and Expansion of Armed Conflict:

  • The Arakan Army (AA) has renewed its attacks on the Myanmar junta's naval base in Kyaukphyu Township, Rakhine State, after a significant period of relative calm. This offensive targeted the naval base, surrounding military outposts, and a police battalion.

  • The AA has expanded its operations into regions bordering Rakhine State, broadening the conflict's geographical scope.

  • Clashes reportedly continued intermittently around the Kyaukphyu naval base, resuming on Wednesday, March 5, 2025. Both sides have exchanged artillery fire.

  • Other ethnic armed organizations (EAOs) are also actively engaged in conflict with the junta. For example, the Karenni Nationalities Defense Force (KNDF) is engaged in escalating clashes with regime troops attempting to retake Mobye town in southern Shan State, near the Karenni State border.

  • The Kachin Independence Army (KIA) has been repeatedly targeted by the Myanmar military in KIA-controlled territories, including Laiza, with aircraft and drones, as the KIA pushes to take Bhamo in southern Kachin State.

  • Overall, resistance leaders and ethnic armed groups are estimated to control half of the country's territory, with the State Administration Council (SAC) controlling less than half.

Junta's Military Actions and Tactics:

  • The junta is employing airstrikes and artillery fire extensively in response to the EAO offensives. Airstrikes have been reported on approximately 10 villages near the Kyaukphyu naval base, displacing residents. Specific villages mentioned include U Kin, Kyan Chai, Saing Chong, Saing Chong Don, Shauk Chaung, Si Maw, Kat Thabyay, and Pya Tae.

  • There are serious concerns regarding the junta's use of highly destructive weaponry, including thermobaric bombs, which are reportedly being used indiscriminately against both civilian and military targets.

  • The junta's implementation of the National Service Law, leading to forced conscription, is a significant factor contributing to insecurity and a human resource crisis. There are reports of young people being arrested and ransoms demanded from their families to avoid conscription.

  • Disturbingly, there are reports that Myanmar nationals deported from Thailand are being forcibly conscripted into the junta's forces. These individuals are allegedly being sent for mandatory military service, with concerns that they may be used as human shields and for landmine clearance.

  • The junta has also been reported to have seized dozens of monasteries across Naypyitaw, turning religious buildings into military barracks.

Growing Influence and Security Presence of China:

  • The junta's passage of the Private Security Services Law allows armed Chinese security firms to operate in Myanmar to protect Beijing's interests, particularly its Belt and Road Initiative projects in Kyaukphyu. This has raised concerns about Myanmar's sovereignty and the potential for increased instability.

  • China's economic interests, including the Kyaukphyu deep-sea port and oil and gas pipelines, are significant drivers of its involvement in Myanmar. These projects are located in conflict-affected areas, leading to China's desire for stability.

  • China has been actively pressuring ethnic armed groups near its border, including the Brotherhood Alliance, to stop fighting the regime and engage in peace talks. This intervention in Myanmar's internal affairs has drawn criticism.

Worsening Humanitarian Crisis:

  • The ongoing armed conflict has led to widespread displacement of civilians, with many fleeing their villages due to fighting and airstrikes.

  • Internally displaced persons (IDPs) are facing dire shortages of medicine and other essential humanitarian supplies.

  • The freeze on USAID aid is reported to have severely impacted vulnerable communities and halted critical humanitarian programs.

Cyber Scam Centers and Border Insecurity:

  • The Thai-Myanmar border region continues to be a significant area of insecurity due to the prevalence of online scam centers that rely on forced labor.

  • While Thai authorities have initiated crackdowns, the illicit industry persists, often involving Chinese criminal elements and Myanmar militias.

  • The situation creates a nexus of human trafficking, forced labor, and cross-border crime, further destabilizing the region.

Digital Repression and Surveillance:

  • The junta maintains a tight grip on the digital space through internet shutdowns, advanced surveillance, and censorship.

  • The ongoing implementation of the e-ID project, allegedly with Indian expertise and biometric data-collecting tools, along with technical support from China for a national census, raises serious concerns about increased surveillance and tracking of dissidents.

International Relations and Involvement:

  • Thailand is facing increasing pressure regarding its handling of Myanmar migrants and the issue of cyber scam centers along its border. There is criticism regarding the deportation of Myanmar nationals who are subsequently forcibly conscripted by the junta.

  • The Myanmar junta is strengthening its relationship with Russia, as the junta chief travels to Moscow. Russia has become a crucial oil supplier and a major supporter of the junta's military, especially its air force.

  • The United States has the opportunity to play a role in addressing the crisis by supporting the pro-democracy movement and pushing back against China's growing influence.

Myanmar Current Events  

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Conscription

Crime & Narcotics



Economy

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Humanitarian




Telecommunications